Early season 90 degree weather... (6-11-12)
I’m just coming off two weeks of vacation so that it partly why you haven’t seen any blogs from yours truly in a while. However, on my first day back we are back in 90 degree territory and that got me thinking......Today was the 4th time we’ve reached or exceeded 90 degrees in 2012 and we haven’t even hit the mid point of June. Most kids are still in school. When we have multiple 90 degree days this early can we find any trends for what might happen the rest of the summer? I looked specifically at years where we had multiple 90 degree days by June 15th. Since 1930 there have been 22 years that fit that criteria. Here what I found:
16 out of 22 years (73%) ended up with 10 or more 90 degree daysThis tells me, based on past years only, odds are good that there is more hot weather in our future as we head into the heart of the summer season. Only about a quarter of the years I looked at ended up with 6 or less days. Most recently, in 2008, we had three 90 degree days by June 15th but we only had one more 90 degree day the rest of the year. Our normal number of 90 degree days per year in Syracuse is about 7 days. I will caution that for this study I looked just at 90 degree days. I didn’t look at average monthly temperatures. Here are some other interesting stats.Did most of our hottest summers start out hot? It was almost a 50/50 split. Here are the 10 warmest summers and the 90 degree weather through mid June.
Here is one last interesting a trend I found when looking back at the last 80 years of Syracuse data. By decade, we are seeing a recent spike in early 90 degree weather after 5 decades of consistency.
90s Thru Mid June
And we are seeing a quick start with this current decade starting with 2010. Through this year we have already had ten 90 degree days pre June 15th.
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