Headaches for Northeast, Florida....(6-25-12)
The much advertised cool down is here in central New York and the Northeast. The culprit is a storm in the upper atmosphere that formed in the wake of last night’s cold front. Here is where that storm is located as of this evening.
It is going to take a couple of days for this slow moving storm to move out of the Northeast but once it does the chance in our weather will be quick and rather dramatic. By the end of the week the jet stream winds will have lifted north and we could be flirting with 90 degrees again. And there are signs that once the jet stream winds lift north they could stay north of us, by and large, into early July. Here is the latest 8 to 14 day forecast from the National Weather Service. This takes us into the weekend after the 4th of July:
The other big weather headache is located down in the Gulf of Mexico -- Tropical Storm Debby. It certainly is not the strongest tropical system we’ve seen. Winds as of Monday evening were only 45 mph and it is not expected to strengthen much over the next few days. The bigger storm is the forward speed of the storm which is 5 mph. This storm is moving at a snails pace. Look at this map showing the expected track of the storm over the next 5 days.
If this path pans out it is going to take 4 fulls days to travel from just south of Apalachicola to just east of Jacksonville! That mean rain is the big headline maker from this storm. Tampa has already received over 9 inches of rain over the last 2 days. Even more remarkable is their monthly total for June:
More rain is expected over the next few days over Florida, in particular over the north. I did see some National Weather Service forecasts of up to 2 FEET of rain by the end of the week. That should end any discussion of drought across the Sunshine State. Where Debby heads after moving out into the Atlantic Ocean is anyone’s guess as the steering winds are rather light. There are some hints from both the GFS and European models that Debby will slowly move north just off shore from the U.S. mainland next week.
Tampa June 2012 Rain
Syracuse 2012 Rain
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