November Numbers....(12-3-12)
We have slipped into December so it is time to take a look back at some of the numbers for November. What flew below the radar (so to speak) until the end of the month was the lack of rainfall. We ended up with under an inch and a half of rain for the month which made it the second driest November since record have been kept at the airport in 1949. After more reliable rainfall earlier in the Fall, the November deficit highlights the overall dry weather for the year. When you compare this year with last year, the difference is stark.
| Year | Rainfall Thru Nov 30th | Rainfall Surplus/Deficit |
| 2012 | 27.54” | -7.71” |
| 2011 | 45.56” | +10.31” |
For only the second time in 2012, our monthly temperature was below normal. We ended the month just a bit more than 2 degrees below normal. Even with the cooler weather last month, we still lead the list of warmest years in Syracuse history.
| Year | Jan-Nov Temp | Yearly Temp Rank |
| 2012 | 54.1 F | ???? |
| 1931 | 53.0 F | 1 |
| 2002 | 52.4 F | 3 |
| 1949 | 52.4 F | 4 |
| 1998 | 52.3 F | 2 |
| 1933 | 52.1 F | 11 |
| 1991 | 52.0 F | 10 |
| 2010 | 51.9 F | 12 |
| 1953 | 51.9 F | 5 |
I did run the numbers to see what we need to average to end up ahead of 1931 when this December is done and we would have to average about four and a half degrees below normal for the month. It looks like the first week to 10 days of December are going to average with above normal temperatures so the odds are looking good, at this point, that 2012 will end up as the warmest year in Syracuse recorded history. We would have to end up well below normal for the second half of the month for us to NOT end up at the top. The United States as a whole has been running at a record pace for the year and by the end of the week we should have updated numbers on the national numbers through November.Any sign of a change in the pattern to something more winter-like? At least for the next week to 10 days things look relatively mild. Here is the 8 to 14 day forecast:
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