The stage is set for thunderstorm activity, although a lack of a “trigger” means most will likely not see any tonight. Instead, we have to endure the continuing warmth and humidity as temperatures only drop to the low 70s and upper 60s overnight. Should any disturbance pass through, a few of us may see a shower or thunderstorm tonight, more likely to be south of Syracuse.
Tomorrow is a different story. A warm front continues to lift well to the north, continuing to allow heat and humidity to enter the scene. The morning looks to be muggy yet again with a few showers possible. The set up for Tuesday afternoon will be similar to what we saw on Memorial Day with one major difference- this time around, we’ll have a trigger to spark off activity.
That forcing comes in the form of a cold front approaching from the west. Ahead of that front we’re looking at rain, potentially widespread, and with embedded thunderstorms. It’s possible that a few of those thunderstorms could be classified as severe, meaning winds will be roaring and small hail could drop. While everyone has a good chance at getting wet tomorrow, the greater severe threat is in the Syracuse area and northeast of town.
Tuesday night the activity should drift eastward and we can return to more seasonable conditions for Wednesday. Temperatures will be a bit more pleasant in the mid 70s with sun, clouds, and a shot at a lingering shower or two. Come Thursday we should see even cooler air which may not even escape the 60s.