March weather is right on trend as we see temperature swings typical of this time of year. For the next 36 hours or so we’ll be on the warm side of things as south/southeast winds help to import mild air close to 60° on Monday. These winds also continue to bring in moist air aloft, allowing for abundant cloud cover.
While we’re warm to start the work week, colder air is not that far away. Low pressure currently over central Illinois will slowly track through the Great Lakes on Monday, edging closer to central New York late in the day. While much of Monday will be rain free, winds will increase and the threat for rain arrives after sunset.
Low pressure lifts to our north early Tuesday, dragging a cold front through central New York sometime during the afternoon. That means the day will start off warm, close to 50°, but temperatures will fall through the 40s during the day. In terms of showers, rain is likely in the morning hours. It’s likely we will have a dry period during the day, but as the temperatures fall any rain showers will change over to snow showers.
As colder air moves in behind the front, northwesterly winds create a set up for lake effect snow showers from time to time. With temperatures in the low to mid 30 through the remainder of the week it will hardly feel like the mild March weather we are currently experiencing.