On the midday weather map, low pressure continues to track north of Toronto, Canada with its associated cold front extending south and southwest into western New York. Our winds remain out of a southerly direction but will switch into the west this afternoon as the front moves through. In addition, our temperatures will start to drop after early afternoon and we are likely to be in the low to mid 40s by late today.
The cold front is forecast to be located over western New England by early evening. However, there are some indications that as the front moves through and east of the region, rain will expand.
As colder and colder air moves into central New York this evening, we will see a change from rain to wet snow. The changeover to snow will first occur over higher elevations then eventually over the lower elevations. By morning, most of Central New York may have a coating to inch or two. However, higher elevations may see a bit more, perhaps up to 3 or 4” by morning.
Much colder weather is likely tomorrow as well as some limited lake effect snow showers. Thereafter, we expect a few days of dry and quiet weather for the rest of the work week as high pressure moves into the region. Looking ahead to the weekend, there remains lots of uncertainty as computer models point to the potential for unsettled weather. In short, be advised that coming forecasts may indicate something different from what is currently shown.