High pressure crested over central New York today and was responsible for the bright sunshine that finally made a return visit to the region. That high will be our main weather player tonight into tomorrow. The air over us is rather dry so once we lose the sun, our temperature will drop steadily and we are likely to be in record territory by morning. The record is 21 set in 1992.
We should be in decent shape tomorrow as high pressure only slowly loosens its grip on central New York. Meanwhile, we continue to track a Nor’easter as it gets ready to move up the East Coast. As mentioned earlier today, we think this Nor’easter is going to have a minimal impact on central New York’s weather. Our midday computer models continue to point to a track far enough east of the coast line to bring little if any precipitation to the region. The best chance for some rain or snow showers would come Wednesday night or early Thursday well east of Syracuse. It still looks like there will be plenty of wind along the coast with rain while snow falls not too far inland.
During the day Thursday, the Nor’easter will begin to pull away from the coast and our weather should begin to improve. There should be more in the way of sunshine as we move through the weekend. This begins a period of relatively quiet weather as we head into the weekend along with a warming trend.
Before we get into the warmth, it looks like we will get into a period of cloud cover. This is not unusual as warmer air trying to return to central New York initially rises up and over cooler air down at the ground. This process causes clouds. We think this will happen on Saturday causing more clouds than sun. We don’t have any precipitation in the forecast to start the weekend but we wouldn’t be surprised if there were a couple of sprinkles around.
The leading edge to the warm, a warm front, will push to our north Saturday night. That will put us solidly in an unseasonably warm air mass for Sunday and Monday along with a brisk south-southwesterly breeze. We think that temperatures at or above 60 degrees are a real possibility.