Syracuse quickly climbed above 90 for the 15th time this year and broke the record high for the day (old record 94 in 1999) already this morning. Given the warmth already, there are certainly signs that Syracuse could end the day in the upper 90s to 100 degrees. Our concerns at this point revolve around the amount of cloud cover that boils up during the day and any showers or thunderstorms that develop this afternoon. Both of these factors have the potential to hold us back in the temperature department.
In other words, should cloud cover (and especially showers/t-storms) grab the upper hand, say from now until 3 pm, we’d likely not reach or maximum temperature potential. However, that doesn’t seem to be the case so it looks like we will be flirting with 100 degrees for a high temperature.
While this temperature drama plays out today, a cold front will be dropping south through Canada to the north shore of Lake Ontario by late in the day. This is one of the reasons we could see an afternoon or evening shower or thunderstorm. Some of the storms that do form will have heavy rain, gusty wind and hail.
The cold front will take the better part of Wednesday to clear central New York. Until it moves through we expect it to remain humid and there will still be some showers and storms. By Thursday the front is to our south and a new, seasonably warm air mass will build into central New York and the Northeast. However, we will need to watch a system move along the boundary to our south. There are some indications that (much needed) rain may impact areas south of Syracuse. Eventually, be it Thursday or Friday, a cooler and drier air mass will arrive.