Now that we are about to turn the calendar from August to September one of our nicest stretch of summer weather is about to unfold.
First, the pocket of cooler air that was over us during the weekend and was partly responsible for the showers both Saturday and Sunday is about to pull out. The atmosphere over us will dry out Monday but a piece of that cool air will still be over us so we expect a good deal of fair weather cumulus clouds to bubble up during the middle of the day.
That cool air aloft will depart later today and then its high pressure and a blocked pattern for us. For a change, the trough of low pressure will be over the Pacific Northwest and jet stream winds will be well to the north of the Northeast. That should lead to sunny, seasonable days after today. It looks like mid to upper 70s are most likely, maybe low 80s. Sorry, no 90s on the horizon.
We haven’t seen many stretches like this during the summer so here in the office we’ve looked real hard and played ‘devils advocate’ trying to find something that might spoil this forecast. First, we were concerned about some moisture down over the Southeast and mid Atlantic. For a while last week it looks like high pressure might move off the East Coast late this week and southeast winds around the back side of that high would bring some of that moisture our way Thursday or Friday and then again later in the weekend. That looks less likely now as high pressure sits over us through the end of the week.
The other potential ‘fly in the ointment’ is a cold front approaching from the north Saturday. However, since the front is weak and will have only limited moisture to work with we don’t think there will be any showers or thunderstorms here in central New York.
That’s the way we see it right now. We’ll keep an eye on these two potential spoilers and let you know if they might impact our weather as we head closer to Labor Day.
