A remarkable stretch of dry and sunny November weather is about to unfold over central New York and the entire Northeast. In the big picture, we are going to be bypassed by jet stream winds aloft to our north and south. Meanwhile, high pressure down at the ground has settled in just north of us in eastern Canada. This is a strong area of high pressure that will be not in a hurry of departing or breaking down. If anything, the high will strengthen as we head into the weekend and will serve as a roadblock in the atmosphere, holding back any other weather system.
Our sensible weather over the rest of the week and weekend will be highlighted by sunny seasonable days and clear, chilly nights. Over the next few days, the only thing to get in the way of our sunshine will be some mainly high altitude clouds both tomorrow and Friday mornings. Since these clouds will be high up, their biggest impact on our weather will be to dim the sun a bit.
With high pressure essentially staying put through the weekend, the air mass over us will modify. The November sun is not that strong but still the air over us will gradually warm and end up in the 50s by both Saturday and Sunday.
Over the last few days, we have been concerned about a storm system lurking along the East Coast that could potentially bring us some clouds and even rain early next week. The data we’ve looked at this afternoon points toward that storm tracking a bit farther east. As a result, we are going with a more optimistic forecast for early next week. It is very conceivable we could go a full week here in central New York without any precipitation.