An improving weather picture is expected across central New York this afternoon. The winds over us are turning into the north (if only lightly) and that is causing slightly drier air to build. That will be enough to cause increasing sunshine during the afternoon. Keep in mind, though, it will still be a bit humid.
A cold front currently off to our west will progress east and begin to impact our weather tomorrow. Ahead of the cold front, west to southwest winds will import warmer air into Central New York. Thus, we think highs should reach the middle 80s. With warm and humid air in place, the cold front will likely trigger scattered showers and thunderstorms tomorrow. Cooler and less humid air is forecast to arrive for Friday.
Things still look a bit unsettled for the weekend as a storm system in the upper atmosphere forms somewhere over either the Ohio or Tennessee Valley. The counterclockwise flow around this low will bring moisture back north where it will interact with a stalled front. Our confidence is rising as to how this scenario plays out; consequently, showers and thunderstorms look more likely Saturday. There is still some uncertainty as to how warm it will be Saturday. That will depend on when the rain arrives (sooner vs. later) and if warmer air can return to CNY ahead of the low.
Cooler air now looks more likely to return Sunday and early next week. In fact, high temperatures may struggle to reach 70 at times.