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Another Warm Day, then Big Changes...

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Updated: 3/11 11:48 am

A cold front this midday extends from the Ohio and Tennessee Valley to the Gulf Coast.  Winds should turn into the south this afternoon which is a warm wind direction for central New York.  Thus, high temperatures today should reach or exceed 60° for the second consecutive day.   Other than a few sprinkles, it should be a dry afternoon as much of the rain is concentrated closer to the front itself.  That won’t impact us until overnight tonight.

Behind the cold, west to northwest winds continue to drive much colder air from Canada into the northern tier of states.  By early tomorrow morning, the cold front is expected to be situated along the I-81 corridor south to the Gulf Coast.  Widespread showers, possibly heavy, will arrive very late tonight and just in time for the commute to work and school tomorrow.  Expect the mildest part of the day to occur around sunrise with falling temperatures thereafter once the cold front moves to our east.  In fact, by sunset any lingering rain showers may fall as snow showers, especially over higher elevations.

The air will continue to cool Wednesday as flurries fly through the air.  A second cold front is forecast to move through the region Wednesday evening and night, likely triggering snow showers.  Even colder air will arrive behind the cold front with lake effect flurries and snow showers a good bet.  High temperatures Thursday will be about 35 degrees colder than what we expect today for a maximum, or the upper 20s. 

Looking ahead to the upcoming weekend, there are conflicting signals as to what will unfold.  One reliable computer models suggest widespread snow may fall Saturday, with other reliable models saying dry weather.  However, both models are indicating a continuation of cold weather as highs only reach the 30s.  Meantime, we’ll keep you posted on the prospect for snow this weekend. 

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