A warm front (the leading edge to a warm, almost summer-like air mass) is moving north of central New York this midday. The warm air will move in on the heels of rather strong south to SSE winds. In fact, winds of 20-35 mph are likely this afternoon with even stronger wind speeds over higher elevations and along the northern tip of the Finger Lakes. With strong south winds teaming up with increasing sunshine this afternoon, we expect high temperatures to near 75 in the Syracuse area later today.
Brisk south winds will continue tonight, thus making it feel more like a mid-summer night as most areas only bottom out in the upper 50s to lower 60s. By morning, showers and thunderstorms may threaten areas well north of Syracuse, closer to the Watertown region. However, indications are that showers and thunderstorms we’ll need to well and truly wait until later in the afternoon tomorrow, probably after 3 pm. Before any rain arrives tomorrow, the continuation of strong south winds along with some sun will once again push temperatures well into the 70s.
While conditions for thunderstorms won’t be optimal, we will still need to keep a sharp weather eye on any storm that forms due to the aforementioned strong wind in the lower atmosphere. In short, be on the look out for some gusty storms.
Once the cold front sweeps through Friday evening our warmth will be done for now and a new much cooler air mass will build back in for the weekend. Temperatures will only be in the 40s on Saturday but it will likely feel cooler than that as you factor in the gusty west-southwest wind. While abundant sunshine is expected Sunday, highs will be about 5-10 degrees below average, or low 50s. Sunshine will continue Monday, but with high temperatures near or at normal values…near 60.